Decision Atlas
SUPSupply & productionStop 3 of 12
  1. The planning hierarchy
  2. S&OP and IBP
  3. Master production scheduling
  4. MRP: from BOM to orders
  5. Rough-cut capacity check
  6. Multi-plant allocation
  7. Scheduling & sequencing
  8. Changeovers & lot sizing
  9. OEE & line performance
  10. Bottlenecks & debottlenecking
  11. Maintenance planning
  12. Workforce planning & shifts

Master production scheduling

Which finished products to make, how many, and in which week, so the plan is concrete enough to buy and build against.

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Turning the agreed volume plan into a week-by-week build plan for each product.

S&OP agrees volumes by product family and month, for example 1 lakh units of shampoo in December. The plant can’t build “shampoo”; it builds specific items: the 200 ml anti-dandruff pack, the 650 ml family pack. The master production schedule (MPS) turns the family plan into a plan for each finished item, week by week.

A simple MPS takes demand (forecasts plus confirmed orders) and stock on hand, then plans production so stock doesn’t run out:

WeekDemandPlanned productionStock at end of week
18,00010,0006,000 (started with 4,000)
29,00010,0007,000
312,00010,0005,000

Three ideas come up in interviews:

  • Time fences: the next week or two are usually frozen, because materials are already bought and lines are booked. Changes there need approval; further out the plan is open to change.
  • Feasibility: before release, a rough-cut capacity check tests the MPS against bottleneck lines.
  • Promising: the MPS shows what customers can be promised, its available-to-promise quantity.

The MPS then drives MRP, which works out every component and raw material needed to build it.

Words to use

End item
A finished product the MPS plans, as opposed to the components MRP plans.
Frozen zone
The near-term window where the schedule is locked except for approved changes.
Available to promise
The part of planned supply not yet committed to customer orders.

The MPS record with projected balance and available-to-promise, worked week by week, plus demand and planning time fences.

The MPS record

For each finished item, the MPS keeps a weekly table:

  • Forecast and customer orders already booked.
  • Projected available balance: last week’s balance plus MPS production minus demand. Near term, demand is usually the larger of forecast and orders.
  • MPS quantity: what is planned to be produced, in sensible lot sizes.
  • Available to promise (ATP): the part of stock and planned production not yet promised to customers.
Worked example: 200 ml shampoo, MPS of 10,000 a week

Starting stock 4,000.

Week1234
Forecast8,0009,00012,00010,000
Customer orders7,0006,0003,0001,000
MPS production10,00010,00010,00010,000
Projected balance6,0007,0005,0005,000
ATP7,0004,0007,0009,000
Cumulative ATP7,00011,00018,00027,000

ATP in week 1 is stock plus that week’s production minus orders until the next production: 4,000 + 10,000 − 7,000 = 7,000. Later weeks are each week’s production minus its orders.

A customer asking for 15,000 by week 3 can be promised: cumulative ATP reaches 18,000. A customer wanting 12,000 in week 2 can get 11,000 then and 1,000 in week 3.

The projected balance plans production against the forecast; ATP protects promises against orders. Both are needed.

Two time fences

  • Demand time fence: inside it, only customer orders count as demand; the remaining forecast is assumed not to materialize.
  • Planning time fence: inside it, the system doesn’t create or move MPS quantities automatically; the master scheduler decides.

Checking feasibility

Before the MPS is released, a rough-cut capacity check tests it against the bottleneck resources, and the master scheduler resolves overloads by moving quantities, adding capacity or escalating to S&OP.

Where to master-schedule in make-to-stock, assemble-to-order and make-to-order, planning bills, hedging the mix, and the bow wave.

What to master-schedule depends on the business

  • Make to stock: schedule finished items, as in the shampoo example. There are relatively few end items and many customers.
  • Assemble to order: a few modules combine into thousands of end products (laptops, cars, industrial pumps). Scheduling every combination is hopeless, so the MPS plans the modules and options, and a separate final assembly schedule builds each specific product once an order arrives.
  • Make to order: each order is planned when it arrives; the MPS manages capacity and long-lead materials rather than end items.

Planning bills and hedging the mix

In assemble-to-order, a planning bill describes an average product as percentages of options. If laptop demand is 10,000 a month and 60% of buyers choose 16 GB memory and 40% choose 8 GB, the MPS plans 6,000 and 4,000 memory modules. Because the mix itself is uncertain, many companies overplan the options, for example by 10%: 6,600 and 4,400, a total of 11,000 modules for 10,000 laptops. The extra 1,000 is a buffer against the mix, not against the total, and it is much cheaper than holding finished laptops in every configuration.

Stability against responsiveness

Each change to the MPS ripples down through MRP to suppliers and the shop floor. Common practices:

  • Freeze the near term and measure schedule adherence: how much of what was planned was actually built.
  • Allow changes beyond the fence only through the master scheduler, who checks capacity and materials.
  • Review the MPS weekly, not daily, unless the business truly needs it.

The bow wave

When an MPS is overloaded, unfinished quantities roll into the next week, adding to an already full plan. Week after week, past-due quantities pile up at the front of the schedule like a bow wave in front of a ship. The plan loses credibility, and people start working from their own lists. The cure is an honest MPS that fits capacity, with the overload resolved by decisions rather than carried forward.

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The master production schedule converts the S&OP family plan into a week-by-week build plan for each finished item, netting demand against stock. Time fences freeze the near-term weeks so execution stays stable, a rough-cut capacity check makes sure it’s feasible at the bottlenecks, and it feeds MRP for components and available-to-promise for customer orders.

Why freeze the first weeks of the MPS?

Because materials are already ordered, capacity is booked and suppliers are working to the plan. Late changes cause expediting, idle lines and waste. Freezing the near term, with an approval route for real emergencies, keeps execution stable.

What is the difference between S&OP and the MPS?

S&OP plans product families monthly to balance demand, supply and finance. The MPS plans specific finished items weekly, within the S&OP volumes, and drives MRP and customer promising.

Connected stops

Where this idea feeds in, or gets its inputs from.

Sources and further reading

  1. Silver, E. A., Pyke, D. F. & Thomas, D. J. (2017). Inventory and Production Management in Supply Chains (4th ed.). CRC Press.
  2. Chopra, S. & Meindl, P. Supply Chain Management: Strategy, Planning, and Operation. Pearson.
  3. Vollmann, T. E., Berry, W. L., Whybark, D. C., & Jacobs, F. R. (2005). Manufacturing Planning and Control for Supply Chain Management (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill.

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